Weekend Newsletter 3/22

"Say when"

I can’t say it enough….

Know “when”

• When are you in?

• When are you out?

• When are you sitting on your hands?

I will show what I mean in a few charts 👇

The LLY PUT Thesis (originally shared 2/21)

Shared multiple times in Substack threads after original thesis.

Multiple opportunities at 100% gains on Puts

BKSY Thesis shared Monday (🎯 can reject like an electric fence ⚡️)

Targets 🎯 are areas of resistance; where I scale out

GE Bear 🐻 Thesis was shared on Wednesday

Gravity can be an amazing thing. Puts can PAY when support is lost 💰

Being a Technical Sniper allows a trader to Enter, Exit, take profits and be ready for the next setup (if you have time to be near the screen). But, here is an example of a chart I NEVER entered (no confirmation).

IF it never confirms I NEVER enter (AAOI, NVTS, FJET are examples)

I wish every chart followed its thesis. But, that’s my point. I don’t follow a “theory.” I follow confirmation and I immediately know when I’m selling after I enter. You have to be a machine when you’re trading against machines.

🗒️ None of my charts are a plan to jump in blindly. They are all binary conditionals; trigger + confirmation + 🎯= 🏆

• White lines are Support/Resistance I’m watching (I set my alert 🚨 there)

• Red lines are 🎯s where I scale out(then I set my 🛑s to guarantee a winning trade)

What is an A+ setup to me? (Explained here)

My Top 10 For The Week Ahead 👇

Note: I will share more Bearish charts 🐻 than Bullish Ones. I’m doing this for a few reasons:

• QQQ SPY + IWM are trading below their 200 EMAs for the first time since April

• Pops are being sold HARD. Rejected breakouts are a bearish sign

• The Relative Volume Scan is not showing emerging sectors

Subscribe to see my Top 10. The Discord Link is at the bottom of the Newsletter. I will also provide Newsletters on Mondays and Wednesdays (that’s 3 Newsletters each week w/ 10 charts). Included in the subscription is also a link to my Volume Journal. Here are my Top 10 in no particular order.

#1: IWM 🐻; Russell 2000 ETF

Thesis: Loss of Rising Wedge + Weekly Bearish Engulfing formed

This is the Weekly Chart. Daily is trading below the 200 EMA

Fed is pausing rates; Inflation + Recession Concerns

• Small Caps are highly sensitive to all of the above 👆🏼

The Fed held rates steady last week, keeping the federal funds rate target range at 3.50% to 3.75% after its March 17–18 meeting. The FOMC also signaled it will keep evaluating incoming data before making any additional adjustments, and it still projects one rate cut in 2026 in its latest outlook

Market read

The market was already leaning toward a hold, so the bigger signal was not the decision itself but the Fed’s message:

• they still expect only one cut this year and are not rushing to ease. That leaves small caps more exposed if growth slows or credit conditions tighten.

📓My personal plan: I will swing Puts IF it loses 240.33 support