Wednesday Update 6/10
We've profited off both moves ππ
I am proud to say we were ready for these drops in the Market Leaders. QQQ gave us a lovely Inside Bar Level of support to watch. Once it lost 713 the drop was on.
In the last 4 days Iβve shared downside opportunities in all of these:
AMZN: π 4% with Puts near 70% so far. It looks like it will tap the 200 EMA
AAPL: (shared monday) It dropped 4% since. Contracts moved > 70%
NVDA: π 4% today (confirmed). Puts > 50% today
NVD: Inverse NVDA confirmed > today
SSG: Inverse Semis ETF π; This has moved 12% off support in the range
IWM confirmed below support today
MS confirmed below yesterday and looks ready to re-test 203.92
But, weβve been favoring the Long Setups on a few as well:
FRMI: Get ready for Social Media to be buzzing about this one. I will share more below but, if youβve been reading my newsletters, youβll know this has been a high conviction setup for me. They did not shake me out on Friday. I added more.
DUOL was shared on Monday. I believe its move is just the beginning
ALOY: Iβve been sharing this one for weeks. On Monday, I shared Iβd be willing to stay in it as long as it held 12 support. It tapped that and bounced.
The Relative Volume Scan did not return much today. The market does not seem to be accumulating much right now. We need to be HIGHLY SELECTIVE with our Longs.
ποΈ None of my charts are a plan to jump in blindly. They are all binary conditionals; trigger + confirmation + π―= π.
White lines are Support/Resistance Iβm watching (I set my alert π¨ there)
IF the π¨ is triggered, I check for confirmation.
IF the trigger loses support, I am out (My π is always on the other side of my thesis). Why have a thesis if I donβt follow it?
Red lines are π―s where I scale out(then I set my π to guarantee a winning trade)
What is an A+ setup to me? (Explained here)
I share charts; not financial advice. What you do with this info is up to you.
My Current Top 8 ποΈ
Note: If youβre looking for more charts, check out my X Feed (Link). UVXY is up and Indices are Dropping. However, that does not necessarily mean we will have a βcrash.β We could just be seeing some money rotating AND liquidity opening up for the major IPOs we are set to see in 2026 (SPCX and Open AI notably).
π VELO; Velo3D π¨οΈ
Thesis: Breakout from a Falling Wedge with High Volume. This could be one of the charts that benefits from the SpaceX IPO. Iβm in. I shared in Substack Threads today.
π Note: I will use this emoji to indicate if I am still swinging π
π¬ I will use the βbeginβ emoji to show if Iβm looking to start a new position
It has already traded with SpaceX headlines
VELO ripped on the filing news: on May 21, coverage explicitly called out Velo3D extending its rally βon SpaceX IPO optimismβ as traders bet on the βcapacity buildoutβ theme tied to NASA and U.S. Space Force and their expansion plans.
The rationale: the IPO filing refocused attention on the upstream manufacturing/supplyβchain names that could benefit if SpaceX ramps production and capex, and VELO was one of the smallβcap advancedβmanufacturing proxies traders reached for.
How SPCX IPO could impact VELO
Sector sentiment & flows: SpaceXβs listing (targeting June 12, at a ~75B raise and up to roughly 1.75β2T valuation) is being billed as the largest IPO ever and is already forcing investors to βrethink how they value the space economy.β
Space basket bid: Reuters and others note that U.S. βspace stocksβ have been bid up into the IPO as investors rotate into anything levered to launch, satellites, and offβplanet infrastructure. VELO sits squarely in that narrative as a picksβandβshovels additiveβmanufacturing play for aerospace and defense.
π My personal plan: I will continue to swing commons as long as 21.60 holds
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