Monday Update 6/22

We found 🟢 in a red market 🔴!

Congrats if you stayed with ALOY! It has been a beauty and worth the wait! More 👇. I know everyone is busy. So, I will try to keep Monday Newsletters short, but packed!

Managing Positions; is it fun to be stopped out? No, but it’s necessary.

I’ve been pounding the table for NUAI for a couple weeks. It did exactly as you’d expect. It launched at the open and struggled at resistance. I always scale into resistance (usually 25%).

HIVE: It hit the 🎯… exactly as we’d expect AND where I scaled.

RKLB: We need to celebrate the PROCESS. The chart is just a THESIS. Every thesis must confirm. It didn’t even tap the trigger = No Play. Do I wish it would have launched 🚀? Yes, but the market doesn’t wish cast.

An example of an invalidated thesis. This doesn’t look good.

The Megas don’t look good either (esp AMZN, AAPL GOOGL). Currently, I’m seeing their heaviness as rotation and not overly concerned.

Plan Your Trade. Trade Your Plan.

More in the Link (including a video)

My Top 8 For The Week Ahead 🗓️

Note: If you’re looking for more charts, check out my X Feed (Link).

🔁 EOSE; EOS Energy 🔋

Thesis: It is consolidating at previous support. I bought dips today.

Note: Eos is positioning itself as a power/LDES supplier to hyperscalers and AI campuses. Growth is coming for them. There may be some bumps in early July.

🔁 Note: I will use this emoji to indicate if I am still swinging 🔁

🎬 I will use the “begin” emoji to show if I’m looking to start a new position

The pullback came on low volume today.

What’s the Bull Case?

• Revenue up 445% YOY: about 57 million dollars for Q1 2026, (10.5 million in 25).

• Backlog is at about 644–645 million dollars (about 2.6 GWh), and the commercial pipeline was pegged around 24.3 billion dollars, up more than 50 percent yoy.

• Management reaffirmed full‑year 2026 revenue guidance of 300–400 million dollars and ended Q1 with roughly 472 million dollars in total cash

News from last week?

• Eos began commercial production on Battery Line 2 at its Thorn Hill facility

• The new automated line is part of a repeatable manufacturing platform targeting about 4 GWh of annual capacity by the end of 2026

• Shareholders approved some interesting dilution that will occur on July 1st

  • Dilution is not wonderful, but shareholders will have rights to buy at a discount

    • Existing common and certain warrant holders get rights to buy units (stock + warrants) at roughly a 10–20 percent discount to recent VWAP

    • The 150 million dollar rights offering is explicitly to fund Eos’s required equity contribution into Frontier Power USA

    • Eos and Cerberus are forming Frontier Power USA, a joint venture to own and deploy long‑duration energy storage

      • First purchase order came in last week. It could bring in hundreds of millions. See more here.

🔁 My personal plan: I’m already in commons. I’ll continue to dollar cost average in on dips. I’m watching for 7.30 daily support and anticipating a 200 EMA 🧲.

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